ReinforcementLearning · Polymarket wallet 0xeb58…6fa5

Wallet snapshot

ReinforcementLearning has made 1,339 trades on Polymarket across 355 markets, $116K in volume. Most of it is in politics (29%) and geopolitics (24%). On 330 resolved markets the win rate is 70.9%, lifetime P&L +$1,538. It holds 11 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?". Last trade: Oct 4, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $3,225 · 45¢ → 65¢
• Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $366 · 4¢ → 7¢
• Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes · $208 · 14¢ → 36¢
• Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes · $158 · 61¢ → 65¢
• Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Yes · $89 · 4¢ → 4¢
• AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?Yes · $74 · 23¢ → 25¢
• Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes · $67 · 41¢ → 39¢
• China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes · $10 · 7¢ → 4¢
• Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Yes · $7 · 43¢ → 18¢
• Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?Yes · $6 · 5¢ → 6¢

Latest closed positions

• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes · +$161 · Sep 21, 2026
• LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes · +$231 · Sep 10, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes · -$656 · Sep 10, 2026
• Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?Yes · -$332 · Sep 10, 2026
• Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes · +$47 · Aug 26, 2026
• Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?No · +$72 · Aug 24, 2026

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