vxd2 · Polymarket wallet 0xe9aa…bcac

Wallet snapshot

vxd2 has made 104 trades on Polymarket across 33 markets, $2,773 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (55%) and crypto (30%). On 25 resolved markets the win rate is 60%, lifetime P&L +$280. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Nov 10, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $296 · 57¢ → 94¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $159 · 51¢ → 83¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?Yes · $118 · 42¢ → 50¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $69 · 70¢ → 96¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $59 · 83¢ → 98¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?Yes · $35 · 21¢ → 25¢

Latest closed positions

• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No · -$22 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No · -$30 · Oct 28, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No · -$12 · Sep 4, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?No · +$5 · Sep 1, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes · +$117 · May 11, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes · -$40 · Apr 9, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.