sunnybank · Polymarket wallet 0xe8bd…3014

+$173 lifetime P&L · 76.7% win rate · 146 resolved markets · 0xe8bd4c4af8017cfac3e264daad144e9612f33014

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Wallet snapshot

sunnybank has made 261 trades on Polymarket across 164 markets, $28K in volume. Most of it is in sports (70%) and geopolitics (15%). On 146 resolved markets the win rate is 76.7%, lifetime P&L +$173. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31?". Last trade: Nov 9, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31?Yes · $419 · 87¢ → 74¢
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?No · $238 · 93¢ → 91¢

Latest closed positions

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No · -$17 · Nov 6, 2026
Houthis capture Taiz city by October 31?No · +$31 · Nov 4, 2026
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No · $0 · Nov 3, 2026
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No · +$12 · Nov 3, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No · +$257 · Nov 3, 2026
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Yes · -$145 · Nov 2, 2026
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No · -$27 · Nov 1, 2026
Will Trump meet with Sam Altman by October 31, 2026?No · +$49 · Nov 1, 2026
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No · +$43 · Nov 1, 2026
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?No · +$25 · Nov 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.