Polymarket wallet 0xe21c…447a

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xe21c…447a has made 424 trades on Polymarket across 48 markets, $2,485 in volume. Most of it is in politics (39%) and geopolitics (37%). On 12 resolved markets the win rate is 75%, lifetime P&L +$172. It holds 20 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes · $26 · 84¢ → 86¢
• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?No · $18 · 25¢ → 88¢
• Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes · $16 · 70¢ → 71¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No · $15 · 78¢ → 87¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes · $14 · 35¢ → 42¢
• Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No · $14 · 86¢ → 92¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $10 · 67¢ → 70¢
• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?No · $8 · 57¢ → 96¢
• Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth <10%?No · $7 · 87¢ → 100¢
• Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes · $7 · 88¢ → 89¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No · -$6 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Flame?Yes · -$0 · Oct 9, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?Yes · +$0 · Oct 8, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5?Yes · +$2 · Oct 5, 2026
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Yes · +$0 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

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