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PoliticsResolved

Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$3.41M
13,618 trades
Smart Whales
407
of 1,654 traders · 4 on both sides

Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner

29 MARKETS · $3.54M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

191 YESvs220 NO
47%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 52% YES by dollars · 113 YES vs 51 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$372 of $66.1K is hedged across different prices by 4 wallets. True directional: YES $34.4K·NO $31.3K
YES Team
Total Invested
$89.1K
Avg Win Rate
60.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$57.7K(-64.8%)
Whales
191
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥇hedged
Entry 74¢·31,246.6 shares·also $9.5K on NO
$-23181INV $23.2K · WR 55.3%
Y
Yirmeyahu🥈
Entry 28¢·54,996.9 shares
$-15616INV $15.6K · WR 62.6%
S
SteveBlame🥉
Entry 72¢·5,000 shares
$-3590INV $3.6K · WR 62.7%
K
k56
Entry 63¢·3,196.7 shares
$-2014INV $2.0K · WR 58.0%
C
conherencehedged
Entry 73¢·2,690 shares·also $105 on NO
$-1953INV $2.0K · WR 58.8%
P
puravida
Entry 72¢·1,754 shares
$-1263INV $1.3K · WR 59.9%
U
Urwelcom
Entry 70¢·1,700 shares
$-1187INV $1.2K · WR 68.5%
D
DREAMBIG.Proven
Entry 31¢·3,000 shares
$-921INV $921 · WR 71.7%
B
BeginnersLuck2
Entry 71¢·1,050 shares
$-747INV $747 · WR 92.9%
R
rhhlllr
Entry 20¢·3,459.2 shares
$-695INV $700 · WR 56.1%
Showing top 10 of 191

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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