kakanone · Polymarket wallet 0xe20e…85d7

Wallet snapshot

kakanone has made 293 trades on Polymarket across 196 markets, $2,042 in volume. Most of it is in sports (72%) and geopolitics (7%). On 179 resolved markets the win rate is 58.1%, lifetime P&L +$48. It holds 18 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 25, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?No · $27 · 57¢ → 94¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · $9 · 50¢ → 89¢
• Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes · $8 · 78¢ → 77¢
• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026?Yes · $8 · 41¢ → 38¢
• Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Yes · $7 · 50¢ → 90¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No · $5 · 44¢ → 38¢
• Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No · $4 · 59¢ → 53¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes · $4 · 29¢ → 26¢
• Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes · $4 · 45¢ → 43¢
• Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No · $4 · 66¢ → 90¢

Latest closed positions

• Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?Yes · +$13 · Oct 22, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes · +$9 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes · -$5 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?No · +$5 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?No · +$6 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?Yes · +$5 · Oct 12, 2026

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