YES Price
47¢
47% implied
NO Price
53¢
53% implied
Volume
$1.9K
80 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 48 traders
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 26 - November 1?
7 MARKETS · $3.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide←
47¢−7¢$1.9K2/3Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide←−7¢47¢
$1.9K2/3
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
33¢+17¢$2861/1Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide+17¢33¢
$2861/1
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
15¢−15¢$2040/1Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−15¢15¢
$2040/1
Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
5¢−5¢$890/1Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−5¢5¢
$890/1
Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
5¢−5¢$940/2Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−5¢5¢
$940/2
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs4 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 85%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$171+13 new NO$820
$77 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $89 is directional: YES $85·NO $5YES Team
Total Invested
$93
Avg Win Rate
65.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$13(+14.3%)
Whales
3
K
KiruaTrading🥇
Entry 40¢·140.3 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $57 · WR 61.8%
O
Opulent-Communicant🥈
Entry 43¢·65 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $28 · WR 73.0%
P
Plain-Injustice🥉hedged
Entry 40¢·20 shares·also $12 on NO
Invested
$8
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 62.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$28
Avg Win Rate
70.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-6.9%)
Whales
4
P
Plain-Injustice🥇hedged
Entry 58¢·20 shares·also $8 on YES
Invested
$12
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $12 · WR 62.2%
F
fourcoin15m🥈
Entry 59¢·10 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 84.4%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 53¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 85.9%
K
kakanone
Entry 59¢·8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 58.1%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 34ms