Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
YES Price
46¢
46% implied
NO Price
54¢
54% implied
Volume
$14.5K
425 trades
Smart Whales
50
of 138 traders · 1 on both sides
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 19 - October 25?
7 MARKETS · $58.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
0¢+61¢$6.1K25/16Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide+61¢0¢
$6.1K25/16
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
1¢+43¢$8.0K15/19Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide+43¢1¢
$8.0K15/19
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
11¢+28¢$14.6K17/27Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide+28¢11¢
$14.6K17/27
Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide←
46¢−8¢$14.5K19/31Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide←−8¢46¢
$14.5K19/31
Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
53¢−26¢$4.5K10/27Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−26¢53¢
$4.5K10/27
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
22 YESvs29 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 49% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 9 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 65%· net of hedges
+15 new YES$747+26 new NO$445
$165 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $824 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $404·NO $420YES Team
Total Invested
$460
Avg Win Rate
69.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$227(+49.4%)
Whales
22
K
KiruaTrading🥇
Entry 48¢·283.1 shares
Invested
$137
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $137 · WR 61.8%
T
terremotogem🥈
Entry 43¢·188 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
91.7%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $80 · WR 91.7%
A
AlwaysHere🥉
Entry 49¢·140 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $69 · WR 55.3%
I
Irritating-Hierarchy
Entry 76¢·61.2 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
83.5%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $47 · WR 83.5%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 24¢·146.7 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$53
+$53INV $36 · WR 59.7%
I
itsjustcheddar
Entry 26¢·100 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
80.7%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $26 · WR 80.7%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 32¢·55.5 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $18 · WR 59.9%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 21¢·45.6 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $10 · WR 59.5%
C
Comfortable-Sandwichhedged
Entry 17¢·45.4 shares·also $29 on NO
Invested
$8
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $8 · WR 59.4%
K
kakanone
Entry 45¢·9 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 58.1%
Showing top 10 of 22
NO Team
Total Invested
$979
Avg Win Rate
70.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$241(-24.6%)
Whales
29
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 76¢·210 shares
Invested
$159
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-46
$-46INV $159 · WR 85.9%
R
Raskell🥈
Entry 39¢·400.3 shares
Invested
$155
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $155 · WR 63.5%
3
0x3ff744e9...🥉
Entry 70¢·161.6 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-49
$-49INV $113 · WR 62.1%
O
Opulent-Communicant
Entry 97¢·106.1 shares
Invested
$103
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
$-61
$-61INV $103 · WR 73.0%
E
e46m3
Entry 74¢·80.5 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $60 · WR 79.3%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 72¢·46.7 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $33 · WR 56.9%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 53¢·62 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $33 · WR 84.6%
C
Comfortable-Sandwichhedged
Entry 73¢·40.6 shares·also $8 on YES
Invested
$29
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $29 · WR 59.4%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 71¢·37.3 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $26 · WR 59.7%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 70¢·37.5 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $26 · WR 59.8%
Showing top 10 of 29
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