5 days left
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$272
11 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 13 traders
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 19 - October 25?
7 MARKETS · $6.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
54¢−7¢$3.4K8/9Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−7¢54¢
$3.4K8/9
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
30¢−1¢$1.0K2/5Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−1¢30¢
$1.0K2/5
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
7¢−7¢$8930/5Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−7¢7¢
$8930/5
Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
4¢+36¢$3252/3Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide+36¢4¢
$3252/3
Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
3¢−3¢$1860/6Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−3¢3¢
$1860/6
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs5 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%
+2 new YES$0+1 new NO$23
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $109 is directional: YES $4·NO $105YES Team
Total Invested
$4
Avg Win Rate
72.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-95.6%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$230
Avg Win Rate
72.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$13(+5.7%)
Whales
5
K
KiruaTrading🥇
Entry 95¢·100 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $95 · WR 61.7%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 100¢·66 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $66 · WR 79.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 100¢·50 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $50 · WR 85.9%
A
AlwaysHere
Entry 98¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 55.0%
R
Revolving-Stimulus-Pride
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $9 · WR 86.3%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1033ms