5 days left

Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

30¢

30% implied

NO Price

70¢

70% implied

Volume

$1.0K

50 trades

Smart Whales

6

of 26 traders · 1 on both sides

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 19 - October 25?

7 MARKETS · $6.4K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide

54¢−7¢$3.4K8/9

Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−7¢54¢

Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide←

30¢−1¢$1.0K2/5

Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide←−1¢30¢

Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide

7¢−7¢$8930/5

Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−7¢7¢

Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide

4¢+36¢$3252/3

Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide+36¢4¢

Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide

3¢−3¢$1860/6

Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−3¢3¢

Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide

Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide0¢0¢

Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide

1¢−1¢$2720/5

Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−1¢1¢

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Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs5 NO

29%71%

71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowYES momentum 57%· net of hedges

+10 new YES$141+4 new NO$120

$119 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum

1 smart whale0 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

$12 of $196 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $2·NO $182

YES Team

Total Invested

$8

Avg Win Rate

63.6%

Aggregate P&L

-$0(-5.0%)

Whales

2

KiruaTrading🥇hedged

Entry 30¢·20.3 shares·also $181 on NO

—INV $6 · WR 61.7%

Entry 37¢·5.8 shares

$-0INV $2 · WR 68.9%

NO Team

Total Invested

$249

Avg Win Rate

66.3%

Aggregate P&L

+$15(+6.2%)

Whales

5

KiruaTrading🥇hedged

Entry 65¢·278.6 shares·also $6 on YES

+$14INV $181 · WR 61.7%

qwen4.1.fund🥈

Entry 69¢·50 shares

+$1INV $35 · WR 85.9%

melchior1248🥉

Entry 69¢·30 shares

+$0INV $21 · WR 69.4%

Entry 70¢·10 shares

$-0INV $7 · WR 66.7%

Entry 69¢·8.8 shares

+$0INV $6 · WR 79.7%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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