YES Price
54¢
54% implied
NO Price
46¢
46% implied
Volume
$3.4K
214 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 82 traders
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 19 - October 25?
7 MARKETS · $6.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide←
54¢−7¢$3.4K8/9Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide←−7¢54¢
$3.4K8/9
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
30¢−1¢$1.0K2/5Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−1¢30¢
$1.0K2/5
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
7¢−7¢$8930/5Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−7¢7¢
$8930/5
Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
4¢+36¢$3252/3Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide+36¢4¢
$3252/3
Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
3¢−3¢$1860/6Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−3¢3¢
$1860/6
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs9 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 69% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 53%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$318+18 new NO$288
$72 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $546 is directional: YES $378·NO $168YES Team
Total Invested
$453
Avg Win Rate
62.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$7(+1.5%)
Whales
7
K
KiruaTrading🥇
Entry 47¢·727 shares
Invested
$339
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $339 · WR 61.7%
C
CaptainCoinflip🥈hedged
Entry 46¢·152.6 shares·also $82 on NO
Invested
$71
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $71 · WR 62.0%
P
Plain-Injustice🥉
Entry 51¢·30 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $15 · WR 62.9%
A
anatoly.rektovenko
Entry 50¢·29.8 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $15 · WR 56.5%
U
Unequaled-Title
Entry 50¢·15.1 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
83.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 83.7%
J
joe48691
Entry 64¢·5.5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 68.9%
D
dipanshu-971
Entry 44¢·2.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 57.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$311
Avg Win Rate
72.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$64(-20.5%)
Whales
9
W
Warped-Follower🥇
Entry 84¢·142.6 shares
Invested
$119
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $119 · WR 79.5%
C
CaptainCoinflip🥈hedged
Entry 54¢·152.6 shares·also $71 on YES
Invested
$82
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $82 · WR 62.0%
3
0x3ff744e9...🥉
Entry 54¢·80 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $43 · WR 63.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 53¢·50 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $27 · WR 85.9%
B
balthazar
Entry 53¢·30 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $16 · WR 72.1%
C
Chilly-Indicator
Entry 53¢·18 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
77.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $10 · WR 77.4%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 54¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 66.7%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 53¢·8.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 79.7%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 58¢·7 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 84.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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