efren83 · Polymarket wallet 0xdd4c…5dac

Wallet snapshot

efren83 has made 192 trades on Polymarket across 22 markets, $2,040 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (55%) and economics (23%). On 14 resolved markets the win rate is 64.3%, lifetime P&L -$9. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?No · $17 · 3¢ → 3¢
• Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes · $14 · 7¢ → 7¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?No · -$14 · Oct 12, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?No · -$4 · Oct 11, 2026
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · -$4 · Oct 5, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No · +$6 · Oct 5, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?No · +$4 · Oct 4, 2026
• Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Yes · -$19 · Oct 3, 2026
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?Yes · +$1 · Oct 1, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No · +$2 · Sep 30, 2026
• Trump renames AI by December 31?Yes · +$34 · Sep 29, 2026
• Trump renames AI by September 30?No · -$32 · Sep 29, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.