qcp3 · Polymarket wallet 0xd663…ca64

Wallet snapshot

qcp3 has made 3,870 trades on Polymarket across 326 markets, $22K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (87%). On 296 resolved markets the win rate is 63.5%, lifetime P&L +$1,242. It holds 12 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Iran Nuke before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Iran Nuke before 2027?No · $837 · 87¢ → 96¢
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $214 · 27¢ → 19¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $67 · 68¢ → 71¢
• Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Yes · $36 · 35¢ → 43¢
• Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes · $22 · 49¢ → 20¢
• Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?Yes · $13 · 26¢ → 31¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?No · $11 · 25¢ → 27¢
• Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Yes · $5 · 39¢ → 18¢
• Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?Yes · $4 · 13¢ → 5¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes · $0 · 49¢ → 4¢

Latest closed positions

• Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?No · +$7 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No · +$8 · Oct 31, 2026
• Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No · +$0 · Oct 31, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No · +$1 · Oct 10, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No · +$11 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · +$1 · Oct 7, 2026
• Trump out as President by September 30?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.