choclopolis · Polymarket wallet 0xd449…450f

Wallet snapshot

choclopolis has made 5,045 trades on Polymarket across 387 markets, $334K in volume. Most of it is in sports (84%) and politics (10%). On 352 resolved markets the win rate is 64.5%, lifetime P&L +$3,495. It holds 40 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?". Last trade: Oct 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · $620 · 73¢ → 78¢
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $453 · 92¢ → 91¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseNo · $363 · 68¢ → 73¢
• Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $318 · 62¢ → 64¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes · $313 · 60¢ → 63¢
• Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No · $284 · 73¢ → 72¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $249 · 64¢ → 65¢
• Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Yes · $239 · 90¢ → 96¢
• Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?No · $238 · 95¢ → 95¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $230 · 55¢ → 77¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes · +$9 · Aug 14, 2026
• Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No · -$324 · Aug 14, 2026
• Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes · -$492 · Aug 14, 2026
• Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No · +$341 · Aug 14, 2026
• Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · -$4 · Jul 27, 2026
• Will Qatar reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · -$1 · Jul 27, 2026

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