Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$593.0K
2,683 trades
Smart Whales
99
of 365 traders · 2 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
55 YESvs46 NO
55%46%
55% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 52% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$5 of $676 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $347·NO $324YES Team
Total Invested
$152.5K
Avg Win Rate
63.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$213.5K(+140.0%)
Whales
55
M
Mustafalafel🥇hedged
Entry 96¢·53,498.7 shares·also $24.1K on NO
Invested
$51.4K
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$2121
+$2121INV $51.4K · WR 62.5%
L
lomneivan🥈
Entry 46¢·81,447 shares
Invested
$37.1K
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
+$44326
+$44326INV $37.1K · WR 69.0%
F
Flipadelphia🥉
Entry 16¢·121,960.3 shares
Invested
$19.4K
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$102552
+$102552INV $19.4K · WR 56.8%
E
Euan
Entry 55¢·16,222 shares
Invested
$9.0K
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$7246
+$7246INV $9.0K · WR 69.8%
F
flawfence◆Proven
Entry 41¢·16,730 shares
Invested
$6.9K
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$9802
+$9802INV $6.9K · WR 55.4%
W
whig◆Proven
Entry 58¢·5,600 shares
Invested
$3.3K
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
+$2334
+$2334INV $3.3K · WR 63.1%
T
The-Joker◆Proven
Entry 38¢·6,811.3 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$4218
+$4218INV $2.6K · WR 70.0%
D
defillama7hedged
Entry 19¢·12,847 shares·also $3.6K on NO
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
+$10353
+$10353INV $2.5K · WR 68.5%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 80¢·2,828.5 shares·also $945 on NO
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$553
+$553INV $2.3K · WR 55.3%
D
dsoperative
Entry 57¢·3,985 shares
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$1714
+$1714INV $2.3K · WR 60.3%
Showing top 10 of 55
NO Team
Total Invested
$50.9K
Avg Win Rate
66.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$39.5K(-77.6%)
Whales
46
M
Mustafalafel🥇hedged
Entry 70¢·34,448.1 shares·also $51.4K on YES
Invested
$24.1K
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-24064
$-24064INV $24.1K · WR 62.5%
P
panitom🥈
Entry 54¢·9,000 shares
Invested
$4.8K
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-4830
$-4830INV $4.8K · WR 67.4%
D
defillama7🥉hedged
Entry 65¢·5,578.5 shares·also $2.5K on YES
Invested
$3.6K
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
$-3603
$-3603INV $3.6K · WR 68.5%
D
donthackme
Entry 63¢·2,810.4 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-1782
$-1782INV $1.8K · WR 87.7%
A
Anon321321
Entry 49¢·3,189.4 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
$-1575
$-1575INV $1.6K · WR 86.3%
P
poposub◆Proven
Entry 50¢·2,826 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
74.3%
Position P&L
$-1411
$-1411INV $1.4K · WR 74.3%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 33¢·2,828.6 shares·also $2.3K on YES
Invested
$945
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-945
$-945INV $945 · WR 55.3%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 54¢·1,409.7 shares
Invested
$763
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-763
$-763INV $763 · WR 85.9%
M
M888hedged
Entry 17¢·4,040.3 shares·also $1.6K on YES
Invested
$671
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-671
$-671INV $671 · WR 72.2%
C
choclopolis
Entry 63¢·515 shares
Invested
$324
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
+$106
+$106INV $324 · WR 64.5%
Showing top 10 of 46
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