OraculumNobius · Polymarket wallet 0xd25b…9f3d

Wallet snapshot

OraculumNobius has made 97,129 trades on Polymarket across 25,049 markets, $28M in volume. Most of it is in sports (22%). On 23,656 resolved markets the win rate is 96.4%, lifetime P&L +$8,397. It holds 16 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 24, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No · $80K · 94¢ → 97¢
• Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?No · $39K · 87¢ → 97¢
• Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18?No · $11K · 100¢ → 99¢
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No · $9,350 · 93¢ → 94¢
• Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 18?No · $9,347 · 100¢ → 99¢
• Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on October 18?No · $4,930 · 100¢ → 100¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $4,919 · 94¢ → 95¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $4,575 · 93¢ → 92¢
• Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?No · $2,405 · 96¢ → 97¢
• Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No · $2,388 · 99¢ → 100¢

Latest closed positions

• M25 Tamworth: Isaac Becroft vs Casey HooleYes · +$2 · Oct 24, 2026
• Will Zohran Mamdani say "Billionaire" during his next livestream?No · +$0 · Oct 23, 2026
• Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?No · +$22 · Oct 23, 2026
• NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes · +$2 · Oct 23, 2026
• Will XRP reach $2.80 in October?No · $0 · Oct 22, 2026
• Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 2°C on October 19?No · +$1 · Oct 21, 2026
• Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on October 19?Yes · +$1 · Oct 21, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.