Polymarket wallet 0xcaf6…505c

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xcaf6…505c has made 97 trades on Polymarket across 46 markets, $616 in volume. Most of it is in politics (36%) and sports (30%). On 38 resolved markets the win rate is 68.4%, lifetime P&L +$15. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?". Last trade: Oct 4, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No · $45 · 82¢ → 83¢
• US recession by end of 2026?No · $21 · 71¢ → 94¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · $12 · 36¢ → 88¢
• Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?No · $9 · 58¢ → 99¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No · $7 · 87¢ → 90¢
• Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes · $4 · 27¢ → 99¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes · $1 · 27¢ → 25¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No · -$1 · Oct 11, 2026
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Yes · -$5 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · -$3 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?Yes · +$1 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?Yes · +$1 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$7 · Oct 5, 2026

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