tsybulka · Polymarket wallet 0xca23…f403

+$984 lifetime P&L · 66.7% win rate · 252 resolved markets · 0xca23111ccc44df5c9196627c875a72746a92f403

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Wallet snapshot

tsybulka has made 8,678 trades on Polymarket across 321 markets, $216K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (48%) and sports (15%). On 252 resolved markets the win rate is 66.7%, lifetime P&L +$984. It holds 18 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $979 · 79¢ → 85¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $572 · 68¢ → 71¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes · $211 · 83¢ → 79¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $170 · 91¢ → 95¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes · $72 · 51¢ → 45¢
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes · $60 · 64¢ → 67¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Yes · $57 · 37¢ → 34¢
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No · $49 · 84¢ → 85¢
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes · $37 · 20¢ → 21¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No · $36 · 70¢ → 76¢

Latest closed positions

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · +$22 · Oct 15, 2026
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · -$2 · Oct 11, 2026
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$5 · Oct 9, 2026
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$37 · Oct 9, 2026
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No · +$7 · Oct 9, 2026
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?No · +$5 · Oct 9, 2026
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

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