endangered.species · Polymarket wallet 0xbc1d…e2ff

Wallet snapshot

endangered.species has made 257 trades on Polymarket across 26 markets, $169K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (96%). On 19 resolved markets the win rate is 84.2%, lifetime P&L +$9,314. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · $7,482 · 79¢ → 89¢
• Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?No · $5,067 · 92¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?No · $0 · Oct 13, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No · +$141 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Yes · -$402 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No · +$444 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Yes · -$56 · Oct 5, 2026
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes · -$40 · Oct 4, 2026
• Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by September 30?No · +$54 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?No · +$94 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?No · +$171 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?No · +$13 · Sep 10, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.