Ancient-Particular · Polymarket wallet 0x9b4c…8980

Wallet snapshot

Ancient-Particular has made 103 trades on Polymarket across 62 markets, $647 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (40%) and economics (26%). On 44 resolved markets the win rate is 81.8%, lifetime P&L +$52. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026?". Last trade: Oct 23, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026?No · $5 · 91¢ → 94¢
• Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?No · $4 · 73¢ → 55¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes · $2 · 44¢ → 21¢
• Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes · $0 · 58¢ → 1¢

Latest closed positions

• New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 23, 2026
• Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes · +$1 · Sep 24, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes · +$5 · Sep 16, 2026
• Ebola pandemic in 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 11, 2026
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · +$0 · Sep 11, 2026
• US recession by end of 2026?No · +$1 · Sep 11, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No · +$2 · Sep 11, 2026
• Japan recession in 2026?No · +$2 · Sep 11, 2026
• Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes · +$1 · Sep 11, 2026
• New pandemic in 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 11, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.