Clarencetsai · Polymarket wallet 0x8c04…2eae

Wallet snapshot

Clarencetsai has made 200 trades on Polymarket across 38 markets, $4,237 in volume. Most of it is in politics (18%) and geopolitics (13%). On 17 resolved markets the win rate is 58.8%, lifetime P&L +$26. It holds 17 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?". Last trade: Oct 29, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?No · $153 · 74¢ → 79¢
• Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?No · $105 · 28¢ → 29¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $98 · 96¢ → 98¢
• Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?No · $57 · 47¢ → 56¢
• NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?No · $54 · 88¢ → 96¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No · $51 · 98¢ → 99¢
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · $49 · 96¢ → 98¢
• Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes · $42 · 9¢ → 28¢
• Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?No · $41 · 71¢ → 82¢
• Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?No · $38 · 33¢ → 32¢

Latest closed positions

• Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?No · +$8 · Oct 31, 2026
• Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$112 · Oct 29, 2026
• Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?No · +$3 · Oct 29, 2026
• Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 15?No · -$3 · Oct 18, 2026
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?No · -$26 · Oct 18, 2026
• Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?No · -$55 · Oct 18, 2026
• Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?

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