Geopolitics19 days left
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$38.6K
909 trades
Smart Whales
55
of 273 traders
Confirmed pneumonic plague case in Russia by...?
2 MARKETS · $78.3K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
17 YESvs38 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 33 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$6+2 new NO$816
$6 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $6.8K is directional: YES $145·NO $6.7KYES Team
Total Invested
$333
Avg Win Rate
66.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$203(-61.0%)
Whales
17
P
pilipro3🥇
Entry 81¢·141.1 shares
Invested
$114
Win Rate
71.2%
Position P&L
$-108
$-108INV $114 · WR 71.2%
T
Trading4Fridge🥈
Entry 12¢·487.5 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $59 · WR 57.4%
B
bernardbulletin◆Proven🥉
Entry 19¢·109.9 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $21 · WR 69.3%
C
cambridgeisaac
Entry 24¢·75 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $18 · WR 57.1%
D
DumbOracle
Entry 17¢·100 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
72.9%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $17 · WR 72.9%
E
Extroverted-Development
Entry 5¢·245.4 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $12 · WR 59.7%
B
BAO95889
Entry 26¢·31.2 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $8 · WR 57.2%
C
CosmicCedar◆Proven
Entry 51¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 90.0%
T
Te0n2
Entry 13¢·20 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 66.9%
J
JussBus
Entry 23¢·9 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
92.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 92.9%
Showing top 10 of 17
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.8K
Avg Win Rate
72.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.1K(+16.4%)
Whales
38
Q
Quantum777🥇
Entry 82¢·1,726 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
80.5%
Position P&L
+$232
+$232INV $1.4K · WR 80.5%
D
dobdub🥈
Entry 81¢·1,358.3 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$192
+$192INV $1.1K · WR 66.7%
T
Talophex🥉
Entry 87¢·835 shares
Invested
$724
Win Rate
91.6%
Position P&L
+$74
+$74INV $724 · WR 91.6%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 95¢·469.3 shares
Invested
$446
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $446 · WR 57.7%
C
clazzy1
Entry 81¢·521.9 shares
Invested
$423
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
+$76
+$76INV $423 · WR 61.9%
R
Relaccsed
Entry 83¢·450 shares
Invested
$376
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$54
+$54INV $376 · WR 56.7%
C
Crock95◆Proven
Entry 60¢·560 shares
Invested
$334
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$201
+$201INV $334 · WR 59.7%
A
Annihilation
Entry 75¢·419.5 shares
Invested
$315
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$86
+$86INV $315 · WR 65.1%
E
ED99999
Entry 84¢·250 shares
Invested
$209
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $209 · WR 73.6%
S
SuperFake
Entry 93¢·210 shares
Invested
$196
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $196 · WR 81.5%
Showing top 10 of 38
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