Resolved

Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?

YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$19.5K
596 trades
Smart Whales
31
of 171 traders

Smart Money Consensus

11 YESvs20 NO
36%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 37% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 12 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $652 is directional: YES $243·NO $410

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 494ms
Smart money 36% YES: Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize…