Sonny-the-Joke · Polymarket wallet 0x85e4…5c33

Wallet snapshot

Sonny-the-Joke has made 779 trades on Polymarket across 217 markets, $25K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (42%) and economics (31%). On 181 resolved markets the win rate is 72.9%, lifetime P&L +$558. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $504 · 85¢ → 83¢
• Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes · $411 · 72¢ → 66¢
• Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?No · $227 · 56¢ → 60¢

Latest closed positions

• Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?No · +$2 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes · -$6 · Oct 5, 2026
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No · +$10 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · +$87 · Sep 25, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No · +$73 · Sep 4, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No · +$22 · Aug 16, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No · +$71 · Aug 8, 2026
• Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?No · +$50 · Jul 31, 2026
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?No · +$20 · Jul 31, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes · +$59 · Jul 29, 2026

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