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112 days left

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
59¢
59% implied
NO Price
41¢
41% implied
Volume
$281.4K
5,985 trades
Smart Whales
133
of 864 traders · 1 on both sides

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

7 MARKETS · $984.0K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

50 YESvs84 NO
37%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 36 YES vs 16 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 59%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$801+17 new NO$1.1K
$453 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 27% of the money is not a bet
$11.7K of $42.5K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $30.0K·NO $810
YES Team
Total Invested
$36.6K
Avg Win Rate
73.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.1K(+8.4%)
Whales
50
S
schizohedgehog🥇
Entry 62¢·28,284.5 shares
$-484INV $17.5K · WR 85.2%
I
ImJustKen🥈hedged
Entry 52¢·16,382.3 shares·also $5.8K on NO
+$1278INV $8.6K · WR 61.2%
B
boring999🥉
Entry 65¢·9,433 shares
$-449INV $6.1K · WR 58.3%
P
poli.monaco
Entry 52¢·1,475.2 shares
+$121INV $764 · WR 75.6%
O
on-cinema
Entry 25¢·2,648.5 shares
+$928INV $661 · WR 67.9%
E
eCashProven
Entry 50¢·1,107.5 shares
+$111INV $554 · WR 67.1%
G
Gladius7
Entry 59¢·745.3 shares
+$8INV $439 · WR 57.8%
C
crystalfallsProven
Entry 40¢·859.6 shares
+$175INV $341 · WR 65.2%
T
Tenebrus7Proven
Entry 61¢·500 shares
$-7INV $307 · WR 74.2%
S
StarMasterProven
Entry 47¢·500 shares
+$64INV $236 · WR 55.4%
Showing top 10 of 50

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 37% YES: Spider-Man: Brand New Day have…