ourwq · Polymarket wallet 0x84ad…5688

Wallet snapshot

ourwq has made 262 trades on Polymarket across 132 markets, $7,036 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (26%) and politics (26%). On 101 resolved markets the win rate is 83.2%, lifetime P&L +$3. It holds 12 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Last trade: Sep 30, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $3 · 77¢ → 83¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $3 · 94¢ → 95¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes · $3 · 60¢ → 88¢
• Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?No · $3 · 94¢ → 91¢
• Iran leadership change by November 30?No · $2 · 95¢ → 95¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No · $2 · 94¢ → 93¢
• No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?Yes · $1 · 63¢ → 88¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · $1 · 59¢ → 81¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $1 · 90¢ → 93¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $1 · 86¢ → 86¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No · +$0 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No · +$1 · Sep 30, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No · +$0 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No · +$0 · Aug 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.