FrancisSP8 · Polymarket wallet 0x843a…8070

Wallet snapshot

FrancisSP8 has made 38,707 trades on Polymarket across 1,030 markets, $4.4M in volume. Most of it is in politics (40%) and geopolitics (25%). On 1,022 resolved markets the win rate is 75%, lifetime P&L +$106K. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Last trade: Jun 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $198 · 49¢ → 83¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes · $40 · 57¢ → 88¢

Latest closed positions

• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No · +$89 · Jun 4, 2026
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $0 · Jun 3, 2026
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $0 · Jun 3, 2026
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes · +$42 · May 11, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes · +$9,934 · May 8, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No · -$9,704 · May 8, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No · +$130 · May 1, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No · +$55 · May 1, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes · $0 · Apr 24, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No · $0 · Apr 24, 2026

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