Polymarket wallet 0x663d…5bca

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x663d…5bca has made 242 trades on Polymarket across 130 markets, $364 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (12%) and economics (11%). On 116 resolved markets the win rate is 57.8%, lifetime P&L +$6. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 22, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?No · $3 · 34¢ → 94¢
• Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $189 Week of October 19 2026?No · $2 · 38¢ → 82¢
• Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?No · $1 · 70¢ → 88¢
• Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Yes · $1 · 69¢ → 83¢
• Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?No · $1 · 73¢ → 84¢
• Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 19?Yes · $1 · 27¢ → 28¢
• Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 48% to 50%?Yes · $1 · 27¢ → 18¢
• Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in October?Yes · $0 · 45¢ → 21¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 21, 2026
• Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?No · +$1 · Oct 21, 2026
• Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 21, 2026
• Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?Yes · +$1 · Oct 20, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Oct 20, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?Yes · +$2 · Oct 19, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.