YES Price
21¢
21% implied
NO Price
79¢
79% implied
Volume
$9.9K
595 trades
Smart Whales
30
of 154 traders
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October 2026
7 MARKETS · $27.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in October
0¢0¢$5040/9Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in October0¢0¢
$5040/9
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 and 42.9 in October
0¢0¢$8800/11Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 and 42.9 in October0¢0¢
$8800/11
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in October←
21¢+9¢$9.9K9/21Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in October←+9¢21¢
$9.9K9/21
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October
55¢−14¢$11.3K9/13Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October−14¢55¢
$11.3K9/13
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in October
3¢+18¢$3.7K3/11Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in October+18¢3¢
$3.7K3/11
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs21 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 84% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$41+9 new NO$120
$39 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $357 is directional: YES $299·NO $58YES Team
Total Invested
$402
Avg Win Rate
67.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$74(-18.5%)
Whales
9
.
.brain.🥇
Entry 31¢·954.9 shares
Invested
$294
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $294 · WR 64.5%
2
2dd3🥈hedged
Entry 115¢·41.7 shares·also $42 on NO
Invested
$48
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $48 · WR 83.3%
S
shiwu666666🥉hedged
Entry 43¢·95 shares·also $84 on NO
Invested
$40
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $40 · WR 72.2%
V
vatanyuhedged
Entry 66¢·20 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$13
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $13 · WR 56.9%
C
cloverpmq2hedged
Entry 12¢·15.1 shares·also $11 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 59.9%
1
0x1e92f5a6...
Entry 46¢·2.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 57.3%
2
0x250bbea1...
Entry 46¢·2.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 57.1%
6
0x663ddcb1...
Entry 46¢·2.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 57.8%
6
0x6f566381...
Entry 46¢·2.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 58.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$419
Avg Win Rate
78.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$324(+77.3%)
Whales
21
P
plainfolder🥇
Entry 59¢·166.1 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $98 · WR 86.1%
S
shiwu666666🥈hedged
Entry 40¢·210.8 shares·also $40 on YES
Invested
$84
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$84
+$84INV $84 · WR 72.2%
K
KickstandBot🥉
Entry 64¢·70 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $45 · WR 65.9%
2
2dd3hedged
Entry 26¢·161.7 shares·also $48 on YES
Invested
$42
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
+$87
+$87INV $42 · WR 83.3%
D
donthackme
Entry 48¢·47.8 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $23 · WR 87.6%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 50¢·44 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $22 · WR 86.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 78¢·25.6 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 79.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 90¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $18 · WR 85.9%
C
cloverpmq2hedged
Entry 74¢·15.1 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$11
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $11 · WR 59.9%
A
0xa24d776f...
Entry 19¢·55 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $11 · WR 90.0%
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