YES Price
53¢
53% implied
NO Price
47¢
47% implied
Volume
$9.1K
524 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 124 traders
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October 2026
7 MARKETS · $25.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in October
0¢0¢$4760/6Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in October0¢0¢
$4760/6
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 and 42.9 in October
1¢−1¢$7210/7Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 and 42.9 in October−1¢1¢
$7210/7
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in October←
53¢−24¢$9.1K4/10Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in October←−24¢53¢
$9.1K4/10
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October
47¢−14¢$10.2K5/10Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October−14¢47¢
$10.2K5/10
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in October
1¢−1¢$3.6K0/7Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in October−1¢1¢
$3.6K0/7
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs15 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 64%· net of hedges
+29 new YES$1.3K+43 new NO$1.7K
$1.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 18 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $305 is directional: YES $304·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$325
Avg Win Rate
64.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$209(+64.4%)
Whales
4
.
.brain.🥇
Entry 32¢·954.9 shares
Invested
$304
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
+$202
+$202INV $304 · WR 64.6%
V
vatanyu🥈hedged
Entry 66¢·20 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$13
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $13 · WR 72.0%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥉hedged
Entry 21¢·18.1 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $4 · WR 55.3%
C
cloverpmq2hedged
Entry 23¢·15.1 shares·also $13 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $3 · WR 57.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$227
Avg Win Rate
81.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$33(-14.5%)
Whales
15
P
plainfolder🥇
Entry 59¢·166.1 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $98 · WR 86.0%
H
haveagoodday🥈
Entry 50¢·44 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $22 · WR 86.2%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 78¢·25.6 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $20 · WR 79.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 90¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $18 · WR 85.7%
C
Clever-Catalysis
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $18 · WR 81.8%
C
cloverpmq2hedged
Entry 85¢·15.1 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$13
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $13 · WR 57.5%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 47¢·22.2 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 59.6%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 47¢·17.5 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 79.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 75¢·7 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $5 · WR 85.9%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 28¢·18.1 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$5
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 55.3%
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