timonjay. · Polymarket wallet 0x6634…7d33

−$2,533 lifetime P&L · 88.9% win rate · 27 resolved markets · 0x663497a3341c9334709b089b0b3dd587d56a7d33

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Wallet snapshot

timonjay. has made 71 trades on Polymarket across 33 markets, $149K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (67%) and politics (18%). On 27 resolved markets the win rate is 88.9%, lifetime P&L -$2,533. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?". Last trade: Nov 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Yes · $1,422 · 86¢ → 91¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?No · $363 · 81¢ → 85¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026?No · $246 · 77¢ → 63¢

Latest closed positions

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes · +$175 · Nov 7, 2026
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?No · -$3 · Nov 5, 2026
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$10 · Nov 5, 2026
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · +$25 · Nov 4, 2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$34 · Nov 4, 2026
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes · +$21 · Nov 3, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · +$64 · Nov 2, 2026
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes · +$4 · Oct 27, 2026
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · -$10K · Oct 26, 2026
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No · +$1,181 · Oct 16, 2026

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