Clear-Disarmament · Polymarket wallet 0x6470…8fb9

Wallet snapshot

Clear-Disarmament has made 177 trades on Polymarket across 136 markets, $453 in volume. Most of it is in sports (43%) and geopolitics (15%). On 115 resolved markets the win rate is 80.9%. It holds 20 open positions right now; the largest is No on " Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?". Last trade: Jul 3, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?No · $4 · 24¢ → 96¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $2 · 94¢ → 98¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $1 · 83¢ → 91¢
• Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes · $1 · 79¢ → 86¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $1 · 87¢ → 95¢
• Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No · $1 · 92¢ → 99¢
• Ledger IPO before 2027?No · $1 · 91¢ → 98¢
• Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No · $1 · 92¢ → 98¢
• Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?No · $1 · 93¢ → 98¢
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · $1 · 93¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027No · +$0 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes · +$0 · Jul 29, 2026
• Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?No · +$0 · Jul 27, 2026
• Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · +$0 · Jul 20, 2026
• Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.