Polymarket wallet 0x63c4…38da

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x63c4…38da has made 160 trades on Polymarket across 158 markets, $199 in volume. Most of it is in sports (64%) and geopolitics (7%). On 156 resolved markets the win rate is 57.1%, lifetime P&L -$2. It holds 2 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?". Last trade: Nov 7, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes · $1 · 80¢ → 98¢
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?No · $1 · 76¢ → 76¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 6, 2026
• Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Yes · -$1 · Nov 6, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Nov 2, 2026
• Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?No · +$0 · Nov 2, 2026
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?No · +$1 · Oct 31, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 30, 2026
• Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?No · -$1 · Oct 28, 2026
• Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?No · +$0 · Oct 28, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Yes · +$0 · Oct 26, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.