yanzai · Polymarket wallet 0x6048…1701

−$275 lifetime P&L · 60% win rate · 10 resolved markets · 0x6048f4684ee3689249cbe86026eb50b785181701

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Wallet snapshot

yanzai has made 250 trades on Polymarket across 33 markets, $24K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (36%) and politics (21%). On 10 resolved markets the win rate is 60%, lifetime P&L -$275. It holds 23 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?". Last trade: Oct 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?No · $504 · 95¢ → 94¢
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?No · $477 · 84¢ → 80¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes · $417 · 66¢ → 71¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $312 · 58¢ → 86¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No · $310 · 36¢ → 65¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?No · $177 · 87¢ → 89¢
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?No · $163 · 83¢ → 82¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · $134 · 39¢ → 14¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $108 · 53¢ → 14¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No · $108 · 57¢ → 54¢

Latest closed positions

Iran leadership change by December 31?No · $0 · Oct 15, 2026
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes · $0 · Oct 15, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $0 · Oct 14, 2026
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No · -$3 · Oct 13, 2026
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?No · $0 · Oct 12, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?No · -$22 · Oct 10, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?

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