Trim-Caution · Polymarket wallet 0x5ddd…0014

Wallet snapshot

Trim-Caution has made 5,272 trades on Polymarket across 263 markets, $270K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (34%) and economics (22%). On 243 resolved markets the win rate is 90.5%, lifetime P&L +$1,111. It holds 12 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes · $956 · 61¢ → 12¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $519 · 85¢ → 87¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No · $478 · 95¢ → 96¢
• Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes · $13 · 0¢ → 0¢
• Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes · $8 · 0¢ → 0¢
• Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes · $7 · 74¢ → 71¢
• China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes · $7 · 12¢ → 6¢
• China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes · $4 · 6¢ → 4¢
• China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes · $3 · 5¢ → 4¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes · $2 · 7¢ → 2¢

Latest closed positions

• Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?Yes · +$0 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes · +$4 · Sep 18, 2026
• Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?No · +$2 · Sep 18, 2026
• Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?Yes · +$2 · Jul 15, 2026
• Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes · +$7 · Jul 7, 2026
• Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?Yes · +$31 · Jul 2, 2026

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