TinMan · Polymarket wallet 0x5b02…0249

Wallet snapshot

TinMan has made 68 trades on Polymarket across 45 markets, $210 in volume. Most of it is in politics (82%) and geopolitics (11%). On 41 resolved markets the win rate is 65.9%. It holds 4 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?". Last trade: Feb 21, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $5 · 24¢ → 22¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $3 · 86¢ → 96¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $1 · 44¢ → 49¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $1 · 27¢ → 14¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?No · +$0 · Mar 8, 2026
• Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes · +$0 · Feb 25, 2026
• Will Trump say "Border" 7+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes · +$0 · Feb 25, 2026
• Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes · +$0 · Feb 25, 2026
• Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes · +$0 · Feb 25, 2026
• Will Trump say "Hottest" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes · +$1 · Feb 25, 2026
• Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?No · +$1 · Feb 21, 2026
• Will Trump say "China" 15+ times during Pittsburgh rally on May 30?Yes · -$4 · Jun 11, 2025
• Will Trump say "Tariff" 10+ times during Pittsburgh rally on May 30?Yes · +$1 · Jun 11, 2025
• Will Trump say "Deport" during Pittsburgh rally on May 30?Yes · -$2 · Jun 11, 2025

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