xaj · Polymarket wallet 0x4e5c…0465

Wallet snapshot

xaj has made 37 trades on Polymarket across 22 markets, $384 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (46%) and sports (18%). On 15 resolved markets the win rate is 80%. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?". Last trade: Oct 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No · $26 · 59¢ → 77¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $17 · 56¢ → 49¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes · $5 · 93¢ → 97¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $5 · 79¢ → 82¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $5 · 64¢ → 64¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No · $5 · 67¢ → 65¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Yes · +$0 · Oct 12, 2026
• Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsYes · +$1 · Oct 11, 2026
• Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsYes · +$0 · Oct 11, 2026
• Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by January 31?No · +$0 · Oct 11, 2026
• US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No · +$4 · Oct 11, 2026
• Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?No · +$18 · Oct 11, 2026
• Trump out as President by March 31?No · +$1 · Oct 11, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.