Dabian · Polymarket wallet 0x3f9a…8ece

Wallet snapshot

Dabian has made 486 trades on Polymarket across 97 markets, $148K in volume. Most of it is in sports (51%) and economics (23%). On 90 resolved markets the win rate is 81.1%, lifetime P&L +$10K. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $3,872 · 90¢ → 96¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $1,800 · 91¢ → 90¢
• Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes · $556 · 85¢ → 80¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $129 · 59¢ → 65¢
• Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $127 · 59¢ → 64¢
• Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes · $1 · 1¢ → 0¢

Latest closed positions

• S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 13?No · +$37 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No · +$6 · Oct 11, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes · +$875 · Sep 16, 2026
• Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No · +$39 · Sep 9, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes · +$592 · Jul 29, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No · +$158 · Jul 26, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.