Distorted-Sill · Polymarket wallet 0x3b9c…d282

Wallet snapshot

Distorted-Sill has made 175 trades on Polymarket across 76 markets, $7,869 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (59%) and politics (30%). On 55 resolved markets the win rate is 80%, lifetime P&L +$448. It holds 14 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No · $107 · 74¢ → 80¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $102 · 91¢ → 93¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No · $78 · 75¢ → 65¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo · $78 · 91¢ → 93¢
• Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes · $70 · 72¢ → 84¢
• Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes · $60 · 80¢ → 81¢
• Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes · $57 · 77¢ → 88¢
• Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes · $53 · 78¢ → 69¢
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election?Yes · $52 · 78¢ → 81¢
• Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes · $50 · 74¢ → 75¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · +$25 · Oct 15, 2026
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No · +$7 · Oct 15, 2026
• Trump out as President before 2027?No · +$16 · Oct 15, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No · +$13 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No · +$7 · Oct 15, 2026
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No · +$19 · Aug 25, 2026
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

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