Oleg2 · Polymarket wallet 0x388e…2078

Wallet snapshot

Oleg2 has made 7,023 trades on Polymarket across 967 markets, $524K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (39%) and politics (26%). On 912 resolved markets the win rate is 67.2%, lifetime P&L +$6,944. It holds 12 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $1,500 · 50¢ → 79¢
• Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No · $403 · 93¢ → 94¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $400 · 50¢ → 21¢
• Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No · $114 · 4¢ → 90¢
• Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No · $93 · 91¢ → 93¢
• Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?No · $90 · 90¢ → 90¢
• Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No · $89 · 30¢ → 92¢
• Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes · $78 · 80¢ → 71¢
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes · $71 · 70¢ → 71¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $27 · 69¢ → 91¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$76 · Oct 9, 2026
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No · +$73 · Oct 1, 2026
• US recession by end of 2026?Yes · -$7 · Aug 20, 2026
• Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Yes · +$2 · Aug 20, 2026
• Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No · -$62 · Aug 20, 2026
• GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?Yes · +$19 · Aug 20, 2026
• New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes · -$1 · Aug 20, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.