guangchao · Polymarket wallet 0x2ed0…2bc4

Wallet snapshot

guangchao has made 754 trades on Polymarket across 561 markets, $23K in volume. Most of it is in politics (22%) and geopolitics (13%). On 536 resolved markets the win rate is 88.1%. It holds 17 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No · $21 · 87¢ → 94¢
• Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?No · $15 · 97¢ → 99¢
• Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?No · $15 · 94¢ → 95¢
• US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes · $15 · 94¢ → 95¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes · $15 · 95¢ → 96¢
• Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?No · $15 · 97¢ → 97¢
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?No · $15 · 92¢ → 92¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $15 · 95¢ → 95¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No · $15 · 95¢ → 94¢
• Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No · $12 · 80¢ → 94¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?Yes · +$0 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?No · +$1 · Oct 6, 2026
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No · +$1 · Oct 6, 2026
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No · +$3 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in September?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.