candypie · Polymarket wallet 0x2bff…1fbb

Wallet snapshot

candypie has made 766 trades on Polymarket across 82 markets, $654K in volume. Most of it is in sports (24%) and geopolitics (16%). On 67 resolved markets the win rate is 56.7%, lifetime P&L +$1,321. It holds 13 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?". Last trade: Aug 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?No · $6 · 88¢ → 97¢
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · $3 · 96¢ → 99¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $1 · 41¢ → 47¢
• Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?No · $1 · 85¢ → 90¢
• Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No · $1 · 95¢ → 100¢
• Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $1 · 99¢ → 100¢
• Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $1 · 97¢ → 97¢
• Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes · $1 · 70¢ → 5¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $1 · 25¢ → 15¢
• Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes · $0 · 87¢ → 9¢

Latest closed positions

• StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?No · -$0 · Aug 11, 2026
• Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No · +$4 · Aug 11, 2026
• Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?No · +$0 · Aug 11, 2026
• Will Mohamed Diomande record the most red cards in 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?Yes · +$1 · Aug 11, 2026
• Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?Yes · +$1 · Aug 11, 2026
• Will Ras Baraka win the Newark mayoral election?Yes · +$1 · Aug 11, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.