waive · Polymarket wallet 0x2aba…e2c6

Wallet snapshot

waive has made 1,593 trades on Polymarket across 298 markets, $23K in volume. Most of it is in politics (26%) and geopolitics (26%). On 220 resolved markets the win rate is 59.1%, lifetime P&L +$189. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?". Last trade: Jul 20, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?Yes · $167 · 48¢ → 99¢
• Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No · $150 · 92¢ → 98¢
• Ebola pandemic in 2026?No · $101 · 89¢ → 98¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $59 · 93¢ → 98¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $38 · 42¢ → 95¢
• Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?Yes · $18 · 75¢ → 89¢
• Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes · $14 · 28¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Aug 19, 2026
• Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?No · +$1 · Jul 20, 2026
• Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes · $0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?No · +$0 · Jul 1, 2026
• Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.