pkFire · Polymarket wallet 0x2617…afc5

+$829 lifetime P&L · 61.3% win rate · 222 resolved markets · 0x2617d814c101c9bb384081f2357822c778aeafc5

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Wallet snapshot

pkFire has made 602 trades on Polymarket across 244 markets, $21K in volume. Most of it is in sports (34%) and geopolitics (23%). On 222 resolved markets the win rate is 61.3%, lifetime P&L +$829. It holds 11 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?". Last trade: Oct 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $2,112 · 95¢ → 96¢
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $521 · 95¢ → 100¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $430 · 92¢ → 98¢
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $301 · 97¢ → 98¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $231 · 90¢ → 96¢
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $50 · 96¢ → 97¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No · $24 · 45¢ → 53¢
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No · $15 · 79¢ → 89¢
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes · $14 · 56¢ → 53¢
Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes · $10 · 66¢ → 67¢

Latest closed positions

Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Yes · +$1 · Oct 16, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No · +$3 · Oct 6, 2026
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No · +$4 · Oct 1, 2026
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes · +$0 · Sep 30, 2026
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes · -$10 · Sep 14, 2026
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?Yes · +$2 · Sep 2, 2026

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