JanusApprentice · Polymarket wallet 0x21c0…4827

Wallet snapshot

JanusApprentice has made 408 trades on Polymarket across 113 markets, $66K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (30%) and politics (21%). On 77 resolved markets the win rate is 61%, lifetime P&L +$16K. It holds 14 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Trump out as President before 2027?". Last trade: Sep 29, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Trump out as President before 2027?No · $3,754 · 92¢ → 95¢
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · $2,737 · 94¢ → 97¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No · $1,630 · 90¢ → 98¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $1,116 · 94¢ → 98¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No · $987 · 83¢ → 91¢
• Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?No · $960 · 90¢ → 96¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?No · $865 · 84¢ → 87¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $581 · 93¢ → 96¢
• Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No · $430 · 92¢ → 99¢
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No · $375 · 94¢ → 59¢

Latest closed positions

• US strike on Colombia by December 31?No · +$11 · Sep 29, 2026
• Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$207 · Sep 29, 2026
• Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes · +$70 · Sep 29, 2026
• Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · +$200 · Jul 20, 2026
• Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No · +$8 · Jul 12, 2026
• Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No · +$9 · Jul 12, 2026
• Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.