Tamirru · Polymarket wallet 0x1b9c…878d

Wallet snapshot

Tamirru has made 258 trades on Polymarket across 89 markets, $11K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (83%) and politics (7%). On 77 resolved markets the win rate is 75.3%, lifetime P&L +$235. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?". Last trade: Nov 7, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $194 · 93¢ → 97¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Yes · $102 · 95¢ → 97¢
• Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?No · $44 · 89¢ → 98¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 20?Yes · $20 · 92¢ → 92¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes · $5 · 56¢ → 3¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes · $1 · 35¢ → 8¢

Latest closed positions

• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?No · -$1 · Nov 7, 2026
• Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · -$2 · Oct 26, 2026
• Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes · +$4 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No · -$26 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes · +$0 · Aug 1, 2026
• Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No · -$17 · Jul 1, 2026
• Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.