Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$5.77M
23,006 trades
Smart Whales
730
of 4,249 traders
Smart Money Consensus
330 YESvs400 NO
45%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $17.9K is directional: YES $0·NO $17.9KYES Team
Total Invested
$436.9K
Avg Win Rate
69.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$87.6K(+20.1%)
Whales
330
R
Roflan-ludoman🥇hedged
Entry 91¢·50,458.9 shares·also $38.0K on NO
Invested
$46.0K
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
+$4376
+$4376INV $46.0K · WR 62.3%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈hedged
Entry 97¢·39,634.8 shares·also $36.4K on NO
Invested
$38.4K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$1177
+$1177INV $38.4K · WR 57.7%
D
denizz🥉hedged
Entry 252¢·11,739.1 shares·also $39.0K on NO
Invested
$29.6K
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-17867
$-17867INV $29.6K · WR 68.6%
M
MajidJavadihedged
Entry 100¢·24,663.2 shares·also $6.3K on NO
Invested
$24.6K
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $24.6K · WR 68.8%
B
0xb03b826a...hedged
Entry 100¢·19,899.3 shares·also $20 on NO
Invested
$19.8K
Win Rate
90.1%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $19.8K · WR 90.1%
A
Adventurous-Evaluatorhedged
Entry 75¢·23,045.6 shares·also $5.1K on NO
Invested
$17.4K
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$5636
+$5636INV $17.4K · WR 65.0%
0
0x0700cb9b...
Entry 46¢·35,294.1 shares
Invested
$16.3K
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$18892
+$18892INV $16.3K · WR 72.7%
X
x0000
Entry 99¢·15,000 shares
Invested
$14.9K
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
+$68
+$68INV $14.9K · WR 75.4%
C
Compassionate-Kneejerk
Entry 100¢·13,329.8 shares
Invested
$13.3K
Win Rate
90.5%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $13.3K · WR 90.5%
U
Ugly-Reporthedged
Entry 69¢·18,911.5 shares·also $3.2K on NO
Invested
$13.0K
Win Rate
78.9%
Position P&L
+$5856
+$5856INV $13.0K · WR 78.9%
Showing top 10 of 330
NO Team
Total Invested
$350.4K
Avg Win Rate
64.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$225.3K(-64.3%)
Whales
400
S
ScottyNooo🥇hedged
Entry 78¢·57,990.3 shares·also $9.3K on YES
Invested
$45.0K
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-44910
$-44910INV $45.0K · WR 56.0%
D
denizz🥈hedged
Entry 333¢·11,729.6 shares·also $29.6K on YES
Invested
$39.0K
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-38994
$-38994INV $39.0K · WR 68.6%
R
Roflan-ludoman🥉hedged
Entry 75¢·50,458.9 shares·also $46.0K on YES
Invested
$38.0K
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
$-37876
$-37876INV $38.0K · WR 62.3%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 92¢·39,615 shares·also $38.4K on YES
Invested
$36.4K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-36327
$-36327INV $36.4K · WR 57.7%
I
ImJustKen
Entry 80¢·19,970 shares
Invested
$15.9K
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-15919
$-15919INV $15.9K · WR 61.2%
P
poinsettiahedged
Entry 92¢·15,860.1 shares·also $8.9K on YES
Invested
$14.6K
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
$-14567
$-14567INV $14.6K · WR 87.0%
C
classified◆Proven
Entry 40¢·21,117.3 shares
Invested
$8.5K
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
$-8433
$-8433INV $8.5K · WR 82.7%
M
MajidJavadihedged
Entry 15¢·43,617.4 shares·also $24.6K on YES
Invested
$6.3K
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-6272
$-6272INV $6.3K · WR 68.8%
N
newnewuser
Entry 37¢·16,868.2 shares
Invested
$6.3K
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-6248
$-6248INV $6.3K · WR 61.7%
U
ULYSSES18
Entry 20¢·28,229 shares
Invested
$5.6K
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
$-5603
$-5603INV $5.6K · WR 83.1%
Showing top 10 of 400
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