Geopolitics80 days left

Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

17¢

17% implied

NO Price

83¢

83% implied

Volume

$209.9K

2,348 trades

Smart Whales

60

of 585 traders

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

10 MARKETS · $7.52M MATCHED

Smart Money

Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026←

17¢+17¢$209.9K20/38

Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026←+17¢17¢

Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

5¢+21¢$359.1K13/37

Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+21¢5¢

Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

100¢−50¢$4.9K5/5

Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−50¢100¢

Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

97¢−40¢$65.0K4/3

Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−40¢97¢

Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

72¢−19¢$15.1K8/7

Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−19¢72¢

Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

23¢+17¢$5852/3

Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+17¢23¢

Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

87¢−12¢$2533/1

Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−12¢87¢

Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026—61¢

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

95¢−46¢$335.6K51/53

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−46¢95¢

Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

8¢+42¢$6.53M258/254

Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+42¢8¢

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Smart Money Consensus

21 YESvs39 NO

35%65%

65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 22 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%· net of hedges

+8 new YES$108+6 new NO$522

$75 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum

1 smart whale1 smart whale

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $9.0K is directional: YES $602·NO $8.4K

YES Team

Total Invested

$2.9K

Avg Win Rate

61.5%

Aggregate P&L

-$2.1K(-70.9%)

Whales

21

ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇hedged

Entry 105¢·1,069.4 shares·also $367 on NO

$-947INV $1.1K · WR 57.7%

RememberAmalek🥈hedged

Entry 94¢·760 shares·also $289 on NO

$-593INV $718 · WR 64.4%

GluedProven🥉

Entry 38¢·1,560 shares

$-330INV $587 · WR 56.2%

Entry 76¢·242.3 shares

$-143INV $183 · WR 86.9%

studmuffin6969hedged

Entry 37¢·243.7 shares·also $184 on NO

$-51INV $91 · WR 60.0%

Entry 29¢·111.4 shares·also $69 on NO

$-13INV $32 · WR 79.5%

Entry 16¢·69.5 shares

$-1INV $11 · WR 67.4%

Entry 35¢·6.6 shares

$-1INV $2 · WR 86.7%

LosingEverything12312312323123Proven

Entry 15¢·4.8 shares

$-0INV $1 · WR 73.1%

Showing top 9 of 21

NO Team

Total Invested

$9.4K

Avg Win Rate

75.2%

Aggregate P&L

+$977(+10.4%)

Whales

39

Entry 85¢·2,530.2 shares

$-32INV $2.2K · WR 71.7%

Entry 85¢·2,261.9 shares

$-28INV $1.9K · WR 73.2%

Entry 82¢·2,024.2 shares

+$52INV $1.7K · WR 89.8%

Entry 90¢·884.8 shares

$-48INV $800 · WR 69.0%

Entry 84¢·806.7 shares

+$5INV $681 · WR 87.3%

ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged

Entry 34¢·1,069.4 shares·also $1.1K on YES

+$526INV $367 · WR 57.7%

Entry 84¢·400 shares

+$3INV $337 · WR 64.7%

RememberAmalekhedged

Entry 38¢·760 shares·also $718 on YES

+$346INV $289 · WR 64.4%

Entry 86¢·308.7 shares

$-2INV $264 · WR 87.2%

studmuffin6969hedged

Entry 75¢·243.7 shares·also $91 on YES

+$20INV $184 · WR 60.0%

Showing top 10 of 39

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