Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-05 House election by 15%-20%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$3.6K
122 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 63 traders
AZ-05 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $17.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs8 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%
+1 new YES$0+1 new NO$10
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $18 is directional: YES $18·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$23
Avg Win Rate
65.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$21(-88.0%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$163
Avg Win Rate
84.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$31(+19.3%)
Whales
8
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 84¢·51 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $43 · WR 87.6%
S
smallreceipt🥈
Entry 81¢·45 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $36 · WR 88.6%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 81¢·44.8 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $36 · WR 79.2%
W
wuwuwuwuwu11hedged
Entry 77¢·20 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$15
Win Rate
81.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $15 · WR 81.4%
D
Daring-Dishwasher-Tutu
Entry 99¢·10.3 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 84.9%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 83¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 86.1%
P
plainfolder
Entry 83¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 86.1%
V
Vicious-Wannabe
Entry 97¢·5.4 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 81.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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