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170 days left

Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
79¢
79% implied
NO Price
21¢
21% implied
Volume
$39.9K
1,089 trades
Smart Whales
37
of 200 traders

What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

5 MARKETS · $85.3K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

9 YESvs28 NO
24%76%
76% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 78% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 98%· net of hedges
+27 new YES$4.8K+21 new NO$567
$993 of this was bought on both sides by the same 17 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.8K is directional: YES $2.9K·NO $827
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.0K
Avg Win Rate
67.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$689(+22.7%)
Whales
9
C
Corny-Hyphenation🥇
Entry 76¢·1,856 shares
+$143INV $1.4K · WR 67.4%
A
Annual-Commercial🥈
Entry 65¢·1,829.2 shares
+$342INV $1.2K · WR 70.8%
F
FrozenParasite🥉
Entry 59¢·474.7 shares
+$93INV $280 · WR 56.4%
K
KiernanMeisterProven
Entry 39¢·255.5 shares
+$100INV $100 · WR 63.4%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 70¢·50 shares
+$7INV $35 · WR 69.8%
A
AlMerman07
Entry 72¢·21 shares
+$2INV $15 · WR 59.5%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 79¢·6 shares
+$0INV $5 · WR 68.2%
B
beatrix99
Entry 67¢·3.4 shares
+$1INV $2 · WR 81.8%
Showing top 8 of 9

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 24% YES: the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño…